Monday, February 1, 2021

Missouri and COVID -

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It’s been [checks archive] two-and-a-half months given that I provided an update regarding Missouri’s COVID numbers. (There’s been a lot going on.) In the interim, Missouri’s COVID numbers have seen a substantial uptick (mid-November through December) but have actually considering that fallen off and appear to be headed in the best instructions. So, I wanted to supply an update as to the current reported data relating to reported cases, deaths, testing, and hospitalizations. Here’s where we currently stand:

(I do have to add a quick note on this– as of right now, Missouri is only including favorable PCR tests in its tally, rather than PCR plus antigen tests.

There have actually now been 7,360 deaths in Missouri attributed to COVID-19 That’s up from 3,524 on November 14 th (so by 3,836– likewise a boost of over 100%) and Missouri has actually now gone up four areas into 18 th place in regards to total (reported) COVID-related deaths. In regards to deaths per million, Missouri now sits at 1,199(up from 574 on November 14 th) however has actually fallen one area to 27 th place on that metric.

Relating to screening, Missouri has actually now reported 4,815,665 tests administered (up from 2,719,980 two-and-a-half months ago), which moves it down 2 areas to 21 st location in total tests. When it comes to tests per million individuals, Missouri has administered 784,639, which bumps it down 6 areas to 31 st.

COVID hospitalizations have started to decrease in current weeks. The last reported data per the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Citizen Services dashboard is 1,908 since January 31 st. (We were at 2,523 on November 13 th.) Per DHSS, remaining total medical facility bed capability is 35%, remaining ICU bed capacity is 24%, and staying ventilator capacity is 70%. Surprisingly, those first 2 numbers are lower than they remained in November (then it w 38%and 31%, respectively), which shows that “capability” is a moving target and/or that other illnesses and injuries are the factor those beds are needed at present. (For a bit of included point of view, though there stays some stress on the healthcare facility systems, the variety of COVID patients currently hospitalized makes up.6%of the number of active cases in Missouri. The variety of COVID ICU clients equates to.1%of the variety of active cases. Even more, COVID clients comprise approximately 14%of those presently inhabiting hospital beds and 21%of those presently occupying ICU beds.)

Again, while the overall number of reported cases of– and deaths attributed to– COVID-19 have increased measurably, we are now moving in the ideal instructions. The rate of boost in reported cases has balanced.6%for the month of January.

Missouri’s present rough case fatality rate (reported deaths divided by reported cases) has stayed at 1.5%In comparison, the United States rough case fatality rate is at 1.7%(below 2.3%in the mid-November update), and neighboring Illinois’ sits at 1.9%(down from 2.0%).

Missouri’s positivity rate (overall reported cases divided by total reported tests) was 8.3%in mid-November. It now sits at 10.3%, having actually climbed as high as 10.6%three weeks back.

In sum, Missouri is trending in the right instructions. The heading, as you may assume, is sarcasm. Not that I don’t take COVID seriously– I do. I likewise take a dim view of much of the hype and politicization surrounding it, not least of which has actually been regional and statewide authorities’ efforts to “do something” by selecting and picking which companies are “vital” or considered safe adequate to stay open in apparently illogical (and not backed-by-the-science) fashion.

That’s been a hot subject here in the St. Louis location as the County Executive for St. Louis County, Sam Page, banned in-door dining at dining establishments in mid-November, and only just recently raised the restriction(as of January fourth). This, while restaurants in surrounding St. Charles County (and even St. Louis City) remained open. There has been lawsuits and a bargain of local news coverage over the problem. And now, the Missouri legislature is using up the concern of restricting the degree to which regional executives can execute such constraints.

However what mainly prompted me to point this out was an exchange earlier today with my pal and RedState colleague, Jennifer Van Laar. Jen shared a picture from the last time she was able to consume within at a dining establishment in California (when indoor dining was for a short while allowed again in Orange County.)

Don’t dislike me however we’ve been dining in at restaurants given that May. St. Louis County did shut them back down once again in Nov-Dec, however the city, St. Charles County (where I live) and most all over else has actually stayed open.

— Susie Moore (@SmoosieQ) January 31, 2021

As I noted in my action, here in Missouri, we’ve mostly been able to dine inside your home (based on some occupancy limitations and curfews) because May. In spite of California’s having stayed largely locked down this entire time, their cases per million in are at 83,440, which puts them in 24 th place– four spots ahead of Missouri. Something to chew on …

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